{"id":676,"date":"2024-02-07T00:09:54","date_gmt":"2024-02-07T00:09:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/2024\/02\/07\/a-decade-later-history-repeats-itself-on-immigration-reform\/"},"modified":"2024-02-07T00:09:54","modified_gmt":"2024-02-07T00:09:54","slug":"a-decade-later-history-repeats-itself-on-immigration-reform","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/2024\/02\/07\/a-decade-later-history-repeats-itself-on-immigration-reform\/","title":{"rendered":"A decade later, history repeats itself on immigration reform"},"content":{"rendered":"
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If the 2008 presidential election made Republicans nervous, the 2012 contest made them panic.<\/p>\n

Barack Obama had easily defeated Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) in his first presidential race, but there were all sorts of ways that victory could be rationalized: President George W. Bush\u2019s unpopularity and the economic crisis. Yes, Obama benefited from an emergent coalition of young and non-White voters, but maybe it was a one-off?<\/p>\n

Despite widespread confidence on the right, Obama beat former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney to win a second term in office. The same coalition showed up and the only incumbent on the ballot was Obama. Something had shifted, it seemed \u2014 and therefore needed to be addressed.<\/p>\n

In an interview two days after the election, then-House Speaker John A. Boehner (R-Ohio) suggested that his party might engage in a targeted effort to appeal to non-White voters.<\/p>\n

The issue of immigration, he said, \u201chas been around far too long, and while I believe it\u2019s important for us to secure our borders and to enforce our laws, I think a comprehensive approach is long overdue, and I\u2019m confident that the president, myself, others, can find the common ground to take care of this issue once and for all.\u201d<\/p>\n

Fox News and radio host Sean Hannity had already offered a similar argument.<\/p>\n

\u201cIf some people have criminal records, you can send them home,\u201d he said, \u201cbut if people are here, law-abiding, participating for years, their kids are born here, you know, first secure the border, pathway to citizenship, done.\u201d<\/p>\n

Speaking to reporters that same month, Obama agreed. It seemed like a strategy was taking shape.<\/p>\n

In January 2013, a group of eight senators \u2014 soon dubbed the \u201cGang of Eight\u201d \u2014 announced a framework for immigration reform. There were four Republicans, including McCain, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) and Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.). Hannity was a fan. Legislation was introduced and passed the Senate by a nearly 2-to-1 majority that June.<\/p>\n

But by then everything was already falling apart. Conservative media \u2014 at first in opposition to Hannity and then with his participation \u2014 hammered the bill, particularly the pathway to citizenship. Rubio, who embraced his role as the GOP champion of the idea, traveled to New York in January with Sen. Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.) to plead with Fox News honchos Rupert Murdoch and Roger Ailes to give the legislation some breathing room. By June, that ship had sailed.<\/p>\n

Washington Post-ABC News polling from July 2013 showed that only half the country backed the Senate bill. Seven in 10 Republicans opposed it. Instead of taking up the bill in the House, most respondents said it should be broken into pieces, which Boehner had already pledged. By October, even Rubio was advocating that approach instead of pushing for the House to work with the legislation the Senate had already passed.<\/p>\n

The political floor had given out. By February 2014, even after his conference had offered tentative guidelines that included legal residency status for undocumented immigrants, Boehner rejected any plan that Obama might approve.<\/p>\n

\u201cThere\u2019s widespread doubt about whether this administration can be trusted to enforce our laws,\u201d he said in a news conference. \u201cAnd it\u2019s going to be difficult to move any immigration legislation until that changes.\u201d<\/p>\n

Over 15 months, Boehner had gone from being receptive to reform to dismissing it \u2014 unquestionably in part because Republican voters were hostile. A CNN poll released in early February 2014 found that Republicans viewed stopping new immigration as a priority over providing a path to legal residency by a nearly 2-to-1 margin. It was an election year, and primaries were looming for his conference. House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-Va.) lost his primary to a relatively anonymous challenger in June. His position on immigration (and the fury it triggered in conservative media) was often cited as a cause.<\/p>\n

A decade has passed, but all of this probably seems familiar. Sen. James Lankford (R-Okla.) took up the charge to help develop a comprehensive immigration plan that met his party\u2019s desired outcomes and \u2014 surprisingly, given what Democrats had to concede \u2014 was successful. But the legislation quickly hit a buzz saw of opposition from the party\u2019s base and antipathy from the Republican-led House. Lankford even suffered the same fate as Rubio did in 2015: disparaged by Donald Trump for having the gall to attempt a system overhaul.<\/p>\n

\u201cI\u2019m legitimately surprised,\u201d Lankford said in an interview on CNN on Tuesday, pointing to months of Republican rhetoric on the subject. Some of his colleagues had legitimate issues with the policy, he added, but \u201csome are backing away also based on the politics of the moment.\u201d<\/p>\n

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<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

This should not be a surprise, certainly, given what unfolded after the 2012 election. In both cases, top-down efforts to develop an immigration compromise not only overestimated popular support but probably triggered a negative response. There is endless energy within the Republican base for opposing anything short of building a giant wall that keeps anyone from entering the United States. Reforming the system means to some extent accepting the system, and that\u2019s an easy thing for the hard right to run against.<\/p>\n

Trump, of course, went with the giant wall proposal. When he announced his candidacy in 2015, he piggybacked on the hostility to immigration within the Republican base that had been stoked by the failed effort at reform. He\u2019s running again in 2024 and looking to do the same thing.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

This post appeared first on The Washington Post<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

If the 2008 presidential election made Republicans nervous, the 2012 contest made them panic. Barack Obama had easily defeated Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) in his first presidential race, but there were all sorts of ways that victory could be rationalized: President George W. Bush\u2019s unpopularity and the economic crisis. Yes, Obama benefited from an emergent […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":677,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-676","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/676","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=676"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/676\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/677"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=676"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=676"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=676"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}