{"id":14758,"date":"2025-02-10T00:02:01","date_gmt":"2025-02-10T00:02:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/10\/heres-a-group-ready-to-set-sail\/"},"modified":"2025-02-10T00:02:01","modified_gmt":"2025-02-10T00:02:01","slug":"heres-a-group-ready-to-set-sail","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/10\/heres-a-group-ready-to-set-sail\/","title":{"rendered":"Here\u2019s A Group Ready To Set Sail"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Sometimes an industry group looks good technically, sometimes fundamentally, and then other times seasonally. But what happens when they all line up simultaneously? Well, we\u2019re about to find out with the travel & tourism group ($DJUSTT). On Friday, Expedia (EXPE, +17.27%) soared after reporting blowout quarterly results after the bell on Thursday. Revenues easily surpassed consensus estimates, $3.18 billion vs. $3.08 billion and EPS did the same, $2.39 vs. $2.07. Here\u2019s how EXPE looked on its chart after Friday\u2019s surge:<\/p>\n

EXPE now has excellent support in the 191-195 zone, in my opinion. 191 was the price resistance prior to Friday\u2019s gap higher and 195 (actually 194.72) was the gap opening on Friday on over 8 million shares, its 3rd largest volume day of the past year. Booking Holdings (BKNG) is set up to potentially do the same \u2013 report blowout numbers and soar to all-time highs \u2013 when it reports its quarterly results on Thursday, February 20, 2025.<\/p>\n

The DJUSTT had been consolidating after an earlier run higher in 2024. This now looks like an uptrend, followed by a potential cup pattern:<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

In the bottom panel, watch the relative strength line for the DJUSTT vs. the benchmark S&P 500. A breakout here to a multi-month high would bode well for the group.<\/p>\n

I certainly don\u2019t want to leave out seasonality. Travel & tourism THRIVES beginning in February and running through . Check this out:<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

The next 3 months \u2013 February through April \u2013 averages<\/em><\/strong> gaining 10.6% per year for the past two decades! These 3 months also rank the highest for the DJUSTT, in terms of the odds of these months ending higher than they began. February and March have both moved higher roughly 75% of the years since 2005.<\/p>\n

This is the TRIFECTA \u2013 fundamentals strengthening, technicals lining up, and seasonal tailwinds.<\/p>\n

But What About The S&P 500?<\/h2>\n

Well, that\u2019s another story. Obviously, the DJUSTT would likely do better in a strong overall market environment and we just received another clue on the S&P 500 via the \u201cJanuary Effect\u201d. There\u2019s an old adage on Wall Street that says, \u201cSo goes January, so goes the year.\u201d There\u2019s a lot of truth to this statement and it generally depends on how the S&P 500\u2019s January performance ranks vs. all the Januarys past. Exactly where did January 2025 rank and what does it tell us about the balance of 2025?<\/p>\n

That\u2019s the subject of our \u201cJanuary Effect\u201d members-only webinar on Monday, February 10th. If you\u2019d like to be part of this webinar, simply CLICK HERE<\/a> to learn more about the event and take advantage of our FREE 30-day trial!<\/p>\n

Happy trading!<\/p>\n

Tom<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sometimes an industry group looks good technically, sometimes fundamentally, and then other times seasonally. But what happens when they all line up simultaneously? Well, we\u2019re about to find out with the travel & tourism group ($DJUSTT). On Friday, Expedia (EXPE, +17.27%) soared after reporting blowout quarterly results after the bell on Thursday. Revenues easily surpassed […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":14759,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14758","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stock"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14758","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14758"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14758\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14759"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14758"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14758"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstriumphs.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14758"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}